Wealthy Argentines prefer cash when buying high-end properties like TGLT's Forum Puerto Madero.

Wealthy Argentines prefer cash when buying high-end properties like TGLT's Forum Puerto Madero.

It’s been almost two years since the Argentina stock exchange celebrated an IPO, but local homebuilder TGLT is ready to end the BA Bolsa’s offering drought. The Wall Street Journal’s Matthew Cowley reports, “TGLT plans to raise between $50 million and $70 million from an initial public offering of shares, equivalent to about 30% of the company’s total capital. About half of the shares are expected to be sold in Argentina and the rest to foreign investors.” TGLT and other Argentine real estate companies have waited patiently on the sidelines while private developers in Brazil, Chile and Mexico have raised close to $3 billion in equity capital since 2003. Cowley says TGLT “seeks to emulate the considerable success that home builders have had in (these) Latin American countries…meeting the massive pent-up demand for housing.”  Brazilian firm PDG Realty referenced this “pent-up demand” in a PowerPoint presentation back in 2007 when they purchased a stake in TGLT. Explaining the high-end preferences of the BA market, Jose Rozados of real estate journal Reporte Inmobiliario says, “Wealthy Argentines often eschew the banking system and financial investments, and instead buy property. They aren’t highly speculative investors nor are they looking for quick returns. That makes them fairly solid.” Another bullet point worth considering for foreign companies contemplating joint ventures with Argentine homebuilders: 90% of high-end homes bought in Buenos Aires are cash transactions. A nice change of pace from the mortgage meltdown landscape abroad.

Sebastian Piñera becomes Chile's next President in March. He ran on a pro-business, foreign investment platform.

Sebastian Piñera becomes Chile's next President in March. He is pro-business & foreign investment.

2011 will be a critical presidential election year in Argentina and aspiring candidates would do well to look at neighboring Chile and Uruguay for lessons in economic transformation. Both countries have elected presidents who ran on platforms prioritizing pro-business, foreign investment solutions over government programs and additional bureaucracy. Uruguay’s new president, Jose Mujica, takes office in March and “begins an international campaign for enticing investors to the country,” according to UPI. “Mujica said Uruguay needs more investment to create a greater number of better jobs and his government would ensure the right conditions are created for investors to be drawn to the Uruguayan economy. He realized the economy could not be improved only with legislation and that investors needed to have faith in Uruguay’s economic future.” And if Uruguay stands as the emerging model, Chile on the opposite border is the veteran shining star with a solid, twenty-year track record of attracting foreign investment across industries.  Building on that success, Investor’s Business Daily says the election of pro-free market Sebastian Piñera is a symbol “that an already prospering country (is) preparing to soar.” What has been Chile’s recipe for success? It’s really quite simple says IBD: “Instead of blaming the gringos and waging class warfare in Che Guevara T-shirts, they balanced their budget and respected private property. Instead of squandering a $19 billion state windfall from soaring copper prices, they managed it. They continued free-market privatization of pensions without reflexively opposing its origins, and signed free trade pacts with any nation that asked.” If it wants to remain relevant, much less competitive in the global economy, Argentina had better get its act together and do the same.  (Full IBD editorial)

The mighty Touaregs return to Argentina on New Year's Day to compete in Dakar 2010.

The mighty Touaregs return to Argentina on New Year's Day to compete in Dakar 2010.

After two decades of races from Paris to Senegal, the 2010 edition of the Dakar Rally will be unleashed in the Argentine wilderness on New Year’s Day. Recent political instability in Africa prompted the trans-Atlantic crossing of the annual event to South America last year when the race was first run from Buenos Aires across the Andes into Central Chile, north into the Atacama Desert and back to Buenos Aires. (2009 Course) This year’s event will take place from January 1-17, and tourists, technology and Twitter will play expanding roles building on last year’s success. There were major public turnouts in 2009 given Argentines and Chileans shared love for motor sports, and this year’s course, a brutal 9,000 kilometer, counter-clockwise loop should pull solid crowds in Córdoba, Antofagasta, Santiago and of course BA. (2010 Course) As for technology, Adam Hoover of WhoWon.com says “5 pairs of Volkswagen drivers will battle against other competitors in Volkswagen Race Touaregs powered by 280 hp clean diesel, TDI engines. In 2009, Volkswagen scored a 1-2 victory in the Dakar Rally with its Race Touaregs in the car class. The German duo of Giniel de Villiers and Dirk von Zitzewitz took the win.” Arizona native Mark Miller and teammate Ralph Pitchford (New Zealand) finished second making Miller the highest finishing American in Dakar’s history. While 2.9 million unique visitors followed the race last year online, that number should easily exceed 3 million this year thanks in part to Miller who will Twitter his way through the 2010 Rally. (Official Dakar 2010 Site)

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Angus Young performs last night in Buenos Aires. AC/DC's record-breaking Black Ice Tour plays 3 nights in BA. (Source: Clarín)

Angus Young and AC/DC performing last night in Buenos Aires. (Source: Clarín)

Few rock acts have the longevity of Australia’s AC/DC, and few bands can match their ticket-selling prowess here in Buenos Aires. So it seemed only fitting this year when Angus Young, Brian Johnson & Co. announced their Black Ice Tour would make a one-night stopover in BA’s River Plate Stadium. Ticket sales officially began September 28 and Argentines snapped up 30,000 boletos in the first hour alone. The sell-out prompted the addition of a second show, and that eventual sell-out led to the addition of a third show/sell-out. Local news outlets reported on the “Furor por AC/DC.” (YouTube video) And judging by regional headlines, the band’s willingness to stay and perform in BA is a pop culture point of pride for Argentina: the Brazilians complain the Argentines are lucky, because São Paulo didn’t get an extra show, while the Chilean newspapers lamented, “AC/DC left Chile out of their World Tour.” But fear not, Chile, you can always buy the concert DVD. Like U2, Madonna, and The Police before them, AC/DC is filming the three River Plate shows for an upcoming DVD of the Black Ice Tour.  Clarín has photos and a summary of last night’s first concert; the remaining shows will be Friday and Sunday night.

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Attendees at last month's Salon del Mercado Inmobiliario 2009 learn about various projects.

Attendees at last month's Salon del Mercado Inmobiliario 2009 learn about various real estate developments.

International Speculator sits down with global investor Doug Casey for a candid assessment of the global real estate market status quo and prospects for future growth and appreciation. The U.S. is definitely not high on Casey’s list, where he predicts the average American’s standard of living “will drop significantly” in the coming years…if it hasn’t already. And while he has personally had good timing with investments in Spain and Hong Kong, he’s not very bullish on Europe, Central Asia, Africa or the Middle East for reasons ranging from overvaluation to “voracious” governments to shifting demographics. So what options does that leave a real estate investing globetrotter in today’s environment? “South America,” says Casey, “I think it’s going to have its day in the sun. I think Argentina, Chile, and Uruguay are the places to be in South America. Brazil has gotten too expensive. Bolivia and Paraguay are too screwed up. I like the “Southern Cone” countries, and among them, for reasons we’ve discussed at length in the International Speculator, I think Argentina offers the best speculative opportunities. And Casey finishes the interview with a more targeted plug for Argentina and Uruguay based on his own observations: “I see a lot of European immigration headed to Argentina. Europeans that come to Argentina, or Uruguay, for that matter, are going to realize that real estate costs a tenth of what it does in Europe. They’ll realize that this is the place to be for real estate, and lifestyle in general.” For more information on Casey Research, click here.

 
© 2010 InvestBA, S.A.