Dot Baires Shopping Center in Buenos Aires

Shopping centers like Dot Baires are packed with locals and tourists in a buying mood. (Photo: E. Gallelli)

When we look back on 2010 in Argentina from an economic standpoint, the year will be remembered for some key trends that helped lift the country out of the doldrums of 2008/09: consumer confidence, retail spending, housing demand and the record influx of tourists, both domestic (notably BA for the Bicentennial) and international.

And while we’re still months away from closing the books on 2010, Alfredo Sainz of La Nacion says all of these factors are peaking simultaneously to send winter out with a serious bang of discretionary spending.

“The combination of low temperatures,good macroeconomic signals, purchases delayed for two years, the lack of saving alternatives and a massive flood of Brazilian tourists all combined to make the perfect recipe for winter vacations and winter 2010 in general,” writes Sainz adding, “From the shopping centers, the multiplexes, the clothing stores, the tourism agencies and the airlines, this winter season has been the most successful of the last three years.”

Retail sales are up 20-50% at Dot Baires, Alto Avellaneda, Paseo Alcorta, Abasto and Unicenter; box office ticket sales are up 65%; and the 20% bump in tourists has pushed average hotel occupancy rates to 90%. On the transportation side, Aerolineas Argentinas just announced a 30% increase in July traffic and a whopping 240% increase in traffic from Brazil.

And in a clever case of making limonada out of limoes, the country’s early exodus from the World Cup prompted TAM to divert some originally-scheduled South Africa routes down to the ski slopes of Bariloche. (Full Story in Spanish)

For more information on Buenos Aires shopping and luxury living, download the new issue of InvestBA Privada.

Algodon Mansion in Buenos Aires

A suite at the new Algodon Mansion hotel being built by New York City developers in Recoleta.

While new hotel construction slowed in Argentina in 2008-09, the sector is starting to come back to life thanks to a more favorable peso/dollar exchange rate and the determination of international investor groups, according to Ellen Hoffman of Hotel News Now (HNN).

The current 3.8 peso/dollar exchange rate, about 20% higher than two years ago, has helped New York-based developers like DPEC Partners get new hotels across the finish line. Their project, a beautifully restored 1912 property in Recoleta called Algodon Mansion, is a prime example of the type of ultra-luxury boutique hotel opportunity awaiting foreign investors in BA.

Private investor groups continue to target the high-end by renovating historical in-town landmarks, while large international chains like HoJo and IHG continue to explore new opportunities in the suburbs and surrounding provinces. According to government sources, hotels under construction in Argentina represent US$1.7 billion of investment; HNN says 59% of those funds are for new hotels in Buenos Aires, while the remainder are going toward new projects in cities like Mendoza, Cordoba and Bariloche.

Hotel research firm STR Global says 690 guestrooms are currently under construction in Buenos Aires, while HVS reports a 71% occupancy rate (1Q10) for BA’s 5-star hotels, an 11% increase over 1Q09. In other BA hotel news, the Park Hyatt Buenos Aires will play host to the 2010 Masters of Food & Wine three-day event next week.

For more information about investment opportunities in Buenos Aires and Argentina, download IncomeBA and the new issue of InvestBA Privada.


Soy farm for sale in Argentina

Buenos Aires offers excellent values like this soy farm with owner's residence for under $300,000.

London-based PropertyWire, reports on the coming surge in certain Latin American markets given the increased interest from foreign buyers and developers, many from the U.S., Europe and Asia.

The real estate news service points to the recently announced trade mission by Indian developer group GIHED, and their search for opportunities and joint ventures in Argentina and Brazil. U.A.E.-based Elysian International has shown strong interest in the region, having recently acquired a 174-villa resort in Rio de Janeiro for $100 million.

With over 600,000 properties in 117 countries, Elysian is no stranger to foreign development, which puts Elysian CEO Masood Naseeb’s comments in sharp context: “We are predicting a 1,000 to 7,000% appreciation on land in the region particularly in the coastal areas.”

Still, Elysian’s string of acquisitions suggests their primary focus is on Brazil and, for those investor groups flush with petrodollars, the cost of Brazilian real estate doesn’t elicit as much as a blink. Yet, it’s worth noting the recent run-up in prices has the Brazilian Central Bank scrambling to create a real estate index to measure these increases.

As speculative fever rises in Brazil, commercial properties in neighboring Argentina and Uruguay continue to enjoy more moderate annual appreciation, hence foreign investors are likely to find better values here. Both countries offer ample inventory of large parcels for the development of gated residential communities, suburban parcels for the construction of office parks, downtown hotel/restaurant renovation opportunities and of course vast rural estancias for the development of large-scale agribusiness projects.

For more information about real estate opportunities in Argentina and Uruguay, download IncomeBA and the new issue of InvestBA Privada.

 

Bariloche

Mendoza

Uruguay

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