Pinares Bosque Privado

Roads are being paved and neighborhoods are taking shape in BA gated communities like Pinares

The sale of new and existing properties continues its upward trajectory in the City of Buenos Aires after a lethargic 2009. The market recovery that began last December has gained momentum during the course of 2010 as we reported in May.

Now the latest statistics from the BA Notary College show a 31.3% gain in real estate transactions closed in July 2010 compared to July 2009, as inflation fears continue to provide ample incentive for a refugio de valor.” The total dollar amount of July’s 5,535 closings jumped 68% compared to July 2009, while the average value of properties sold rose 28%.

ElArgentino.com says the greatest demand was for properties priced in the US$63,000-US$228,000 range, followed by properties priced above US$228,000While July’s 5,535 closings were a significant YOY improvement, the number represented a 1.4% decrease compared to June 2010.

There’s a similar story in the Province of Buenos Aires where the 10,730 July closings represent a 70% gain over July 2009. The president of the Provincial Notary College describes the data as proof that “real estate continues to be a good investment.” The broader, more sobering analysis this morning from Bloomberg underscores inflationary fears are fueling current Argentina consumer demand for housing and autos. (ElArgentino.com Story in Spanish)

For more information about real estate opportunities in Buenos Aires, download the new issue of InvestBA Privada.

Argentina Real GDP Growth graph in Wells Fargo Report

With private expenditure and GDP growth, Wells Fargo sees signs of a recovery in Argentina.

The buzz about Argentina seems to be having an impact on investors of all stripes. After Sunday’s 3-1 defeat of Mexico, global betting sources say the Albiceleste’s odds of winning the World Cup improved to 15/4, third only to Spain and Brazil. Whether sports gambling qualifies as “investing” is certainly open to debate; however, a more sober cadre of long-term investors are also starting to take note.

San Francisco-based financial giant Wells Fargo featured an unlikely subject for this week’s front-page Economic & Financial Commentary: Argentina. The analysis showed Argentina’s 7.9% growth rate in the 4th quarter of 2009 followed by a healthy 6.8% year-over-year rate in 1Q10.

Meanwhile, Argentine private consumption expenditures which rose a mere 0.5% in 2009, grew 7.3% in the first quarter of this year alone. The nation’s spending recovery is also reflected in the current trade balance, as imported goods and services jumped 30% in the first quarter. Unfortunately, exported goods and services only rose 4%, although Wells Fargo notes the strength of the Brazilian economy as a contributing factor in Argentina’s recovery.

While over-dependence on Brazil’s fortunes is a concern, the ongoing China soy conflict highlights the need for 1.) less federal government intervention and 2.) cultivation of more international trade relationships in the Americas, the Euro-zone and Asia. To read the full Wells Fargo Securities report, click here.

Global Wine Production Cost Comparison

Let this ferment: Grape price and yield per acre are the key variables global vintners must consider.

Global investors must weigh a variety of factors like country risk, capital controls and transparency before choosing where in the world to invest. But what about winemakers?

The number of wine producing countries (70) is over twice the number of teams that compete in a World Cup (32). Plus global grape production (675 million quintals last year) was widely distributed across Europe (44%), Asia (26%), Americas (21%), Africa (6%) and Oceania (3%).

With so many choices, what’s a future global vintner to do? Focus on the key metrics, grape prices and yield per hectare (1 ha = 2.47 acres), says Davidson Viticulture, a leading Australian viticulture consulting group. When it comes to grape prices, three of the world’s most attractive markets are Argentina ($2,354/ha), Chile ($2,480/ha) and South Africa ($2,051/ha).

At 15-20 tons/ha, California leads the global ranking in terms of average yield compared to 10-15 tons/ha for Argentina and Chile; yet, factor in California’s six-figure cost per acre and South America vineyards begin to make more sense for those seeking lower initial cash outlay and quicker ROI. Furthermore, Davidson says advanced technology and irrigation techniques give growers in regions like California and Australia “no real advantage” over the world’s other warm climate regions like South America and South Africa.

For more Argentina wine and vineyard news, download the new issue of InvestBA Privada and for more information about private vineyard ownership opportunities, visit Algodon Wine Estates.

Argentina Internet Penetration

LCD sales may taper off post-Mundial, but WiFi growth means more broadband accounts in Argentina.

Sales of LCD TV’s in Argentina are currently up 150% over last year, but many analysts say those numbers will taper off once the World Cup is over. The growth of new Internet subscribers, however, should continue its upward trajectory as more Argentine residents and businesses seek broadband access to online content.

According to infobae.com, over 700,000 new residential users signed up for Internet service between March 2009 and March 2010 raising the number of online households to 4.1 million. During the same period, the number of Argentine businesses adding Internet service increased 48% and the number of broadband accounts grew 58%.

One number moving in the opposite direction is the number of e-mails sent, as Argentines sent 7.7% fewer correos electronicos compared to one year ago. This statistic partially reflects the growing preference among Argentine consumers for communicating via social media platforms like Facebook, Twitter and blogs.

ADSL accounts for 62% of Argentine broadband connections, and cable modems represent another 24% of users. As we’ve noted previously, the rapid growth and popularity of WiFi has prompted the rush to broadband in Buenos Aires and other major cities in Argentina. The most recent rankings of global Internet usage show 49% of Argentines have Internet access compared to 50% of Chileans, and 36% of Brazilians. (Full Story in Spanish)

For more information about Buenos Aires investment opportunities, download IncomeBA and the new issue of InvestBA Privada.

Montevideo Aerial

Luxury projects are being built in Montevideo neighborhoods like Punta Carretas, Pocitos and Malvín

Earlier this month InvestBA reported on the recent gains in the Buenos Aires real estate market: closings up 37%, total value of all sales up 57% and median prices up 15%. Now the news from across the river is equally encouraging and offers more evidence of regional strength following a weak 2009 for both countries.

Uruguay’s National Statistics Institute released housing data for the first quarter of 2010, and the total number of closings is up 18% compared to 1Q09. The total dollar amount of all 15,015 real estate transactions in the first quarter of 2010 also rose 32% compared to 1Q09; yet, when adjusting from U.S. dollars to Uruguayan pesos the increase was a more modest 9.3%. (As evident on this XE.com chart, the U.S. dollar has fallen 18% against the peso over the past year.)

Looking at the most recent month of available data, the most real estate closings took place in Montevideo (34%), Maldonando (13%), Canelones (12%), Cerro Largo (6%) and Colonia (5%). The median price per square meter of all transactions in the first quarter rose 6% over 1Q09, while the Construction Cost Index (construction costs less land value) posted a modest 5% gain over 1Q09.

News was also positive for property owners in the Uruguay rental market, as average rental prices rose 6% in the first quarter to US$342. The three most expensive markets for renters were Punta Carretas, Pocitos and Malvín with median rental rates of US$418, $394 and $387, respectively. (Full Report PDF in Spanish)

For more information about investment opportunities in Uruguay including several estancias, download the new issue of InvestBA Privada and watch video tours of InvestBA listings:

Canelones Estancia – US$1,500,000

Punta del Este Citrus Estancia – US$2,500,000

La Paloma Waterfront – US$3,500,000

 

Bariloche

Mendoza

Uruguay

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